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© Andreas Bolte
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Institute of

WO Forest Ecosystems

Project

Regionalization WZE



Spruce slope with bark beetle infestation in the Harz
© Nikolai Knapp / Thünen
Spruce slope with bark beetle infestation in the Harz

Regionalization of the Crown Condition Survey

Forest trees at very different sites in Germany are increasingly suffering from climate change. In this project, the cause-effect relationships between environmental influences and tree vitality are to be investigated in order to generate country-wide maps based on the sample points of the Crown Condition Survey (Waldzustandserhebung WZE).

Background and Objective

The WZE annually records the vitality status of forest trees. Since 1984, the data collection has been carried out nationwide on a representative sampling network (Level I monitoring) and allows the evaluation of crown defoliation (needle/leaf loss) and tree mortality at the federal and state level for the most important tree species in Germany. Due to the increasing stress on forests caused by climate change, wall-to-wall maps of these parameters are needed, which can be used to make statements about individual regions and forest stands, even between sample points. In this project, the statistical correlations between a wide range of environmental influences and tree vitality will be investigated using WZE data. These correlations can then be used to derive predictions for all forest sites in Germany.

Approach

Wall-to-wall maps are available for many different environmental variables, all of which could have an influence on tree vitality. First of all, these are the topography and soil properties. Furthermore, weather and especially deviations from the long-term climate mean (e.g. droughts) are considered. Various remote sensing techniques provide information on forest structure, species composition, and disturbance events. All these factors are examined for their influences with regard to vitality using the long time series of the WZE. For this purpose, methods from the fields of machine learning and geostatistics are used, which can then be used to create maps for the whole of Germany.

Funding Body

  • Federal Ministry of Food und Agriculture (BMEL)
    (national, öffentlich)

Duration

7.2021 - 4.2025

More Information

Project status: ongoing

News

Result: Map of Spruce mortality rates from 0 to over 25 percent over the last 25 years

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